Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ferencvárosi		Borac Banja Luka

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	12
	1.23	6.5	11.5
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.21	6.73	12.33
	1.21	6.7	11.64	Watch
	1.15	6	13
	1.23	6.73	13.2
	1.22	6.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	6.4 ↑ (5.08)	12.21 ↑ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
77.6%

Draw
14.7%

Borac Banja Luka
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

18.6%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.1%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Borac Banja Luka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borac Banja Luka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	8.8%	0%

Ferencvárosi - Borac Banja Luka Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 4. Knoester M. 99. Ramirez C. 15. Abu Fani M. 88. Rommens P. 16. Zachariassen K. 7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 19. Varga B. 20. Traore A.	13. Manojlovic F. (G) 20. Kvrzic Z. 2. Meijers B. 24. Carolina J. 93. Vukcevic M. 15. Grahovac S. (C) 88. Skorup D. 27. Kulasin E. 77. Savic S. 7. Sreckovic N. 19. Lukic J.
Substitutes
17. Civic E. 3. Gartenmann S. 30. Gruber Z. 10. Kady Borges 54. Kajan N. 80. Maiga H. 93. Misidjan V. 23. Paszka L. 8. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G)	22. Cavic D. 9. Hasukic E. 11. Hrelja D. 45. Karaklajic P. 49. Marcetic S. 92. Milicevic N. (G) 4. Pejovic N. 8. Pihler A. 1. Siskovski D. (G) 18. Subic A. 31. Susic S. 23. Vranjes S.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Zizovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Carolina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Varga B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
60', Ben Romdhane M. A. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
60', Abu Fani M. ↓, Maiga H. ↑,
62', Sreckovic N. ↓, Cavic D. ↑,
69', Ramirez C. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
74', Grahovac S. 🟨,
74', Skorup D. ↓, Pihler A. ↑,
78', Kvrzic Z. 🟨,
78', Lukic J. ↓, Hasukic E. ↑,
78', Kulasin E. ↓, Hrelja D. ↑,
82', Zachariassen K. ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
90+3', Misidjan V. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Ferencvárosi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Borac Banja Luka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
17.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
10.08.24	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Midtjylland - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Kecskemeti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWLW
- Borac Banja Luka
Bosnian Premier League
18.08.24	Borac Banja Luka - Sloboda Tuzla	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Borac Banja Luka - KÍ Klaksvík	3:1 ET ✺
08.08.24	KÍ Klaksvík - Borac Banja Luka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - PAOK	0:1 ✺
24.07.24	PAOK - Borac Banja Luka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL

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