Match Info

NB I. - Round 18

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Diósgyőri		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.44
	5.9	4.75	1.41
	6.58	4.91	1.42
	6.47	4.76	1.43
	6	4.6	1.4
	6.22	4.55	1.39	Watch
	6	4.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (5.88)	4.69 ↑ (4.34)	1.42 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
14.9%

Draw
19.8%

Ferencvárosi
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

21.2%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Diósgyőri aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	21.1%	47.4%

Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Diósgyőri (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Sentic K. (G) 11. Gera D. 3. Szatmari C. 74. Babos B. 22. Bokros S. 50. Vallejo A. 8. Saponjic I. 19. Keita A. 88. Mucsanyi M. 25. Holdampf G. (C) 7. Acolatse E.	99. Grof D. (C) 27. Cisse I. 28. Raemaekers T. 22. Szalai G. 11. Dele 36. Kanichowsky G. 72. Madarasz A. 64. Toth A. 47. O'Dowda C. 25. Makreckis C. 19. Varga B.
Substitutes
1. Banhegyi B. (G) 6. Bardos B. 20. Benyei A. 70. Demeter M. 10. Jurek G. 16. Komlosi B. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 47. Mucsanyi M. 24. Roguljic A. 9. Sajban M. 93. Tamas M. 86. Zsombor S.	20. Cadu 62. Golik B. J. 30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 77. Nagy B. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 66. Romao J. 29. Szecsi G. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.
Coaches
Radenkovic V.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Toth A. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Szalai G. ⚽,
59', Saponjic I. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
62', Raemaekers T. 🟨,
66', Vallejo A. ↓, Bardos B. ↑,
66', Babos B. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
68', Szatmari C. 🟨,
68', Dele ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
72', Benyei A. 🟨,
82', Holdampf G. ↓, Mucsanyi M. ↑,
83', Mucsanyi M. 🟨,
90+1', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
90+5', Varga B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 1.

Recent performances by Diósgyőri have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferencvárosi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferencvárosi is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:45. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB I
13.12.25	Puskás Academy - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Diósgyőri - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Kazincbarcikai - Diósgyőri	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Diósgyőri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
14.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Debreceni	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda	3:0 ✺
04.12.25	Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
19.09.25	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	2:2
30.03.25	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	1:1
24.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:3
10.08.24	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	0:2
11.05.24	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	2:0
10.04.24	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	2:1
Hungarian Cup
03.04.24	Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi	0:2

Upcoming Matches