Match Info

Date: 19 August 2020, Wednesday


	Ferencvárosi		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.18	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.2
	2.17	3.29	3.27
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3.22	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
43.1%

Draw
28.3%

Djurgården
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

19.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Djurgården could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	8.9%	20%

Ferencvárosi - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). Djurgården will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of guest games.

Ferencvárosi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
14.08.20	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.20	Ferencvárosi - Sparta Prague	Canceled ✺
08.08.20	Sturm Graz - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
05.08.20	Koper - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
04.08.20	Tabor Sežana - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 T?WWT
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.08.20	Örebro - Djurgården	0:3 ✺
12.08.20	Djurgården - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
09.08.20	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
05.08.20	Varbergs BoIS - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
01.08.20	Djurgården - Häcken	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

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