The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrandina 31.3%
Draw 28.3%
Nola 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
27.3%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
27.6%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Nola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nola than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Ferrandina - Nola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, Canavese L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Ferrandina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nola is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.