Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferro 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.30	1.90
	3.65	3.35	1.81
	3.72	3.63	1.94
	3.59	3.58	1.89	Watch
	3.65	3.55	1.85
	3.67	3.56	1.94	Watch
	3.40	3.25	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
25.5%

Draw
26.4%

Lanús 2
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ferro 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lanús 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferro 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ferro 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.06.26	Ferro 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:2 ✺
08.06.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Ferro 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	4:1 ✺
26.05.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Ferro 2	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Ferro 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWLW
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.06.26	River Plate 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
18.06.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	0:4 ✺
04.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Lanús 2	1:7 ✺
28.05.26	Lanús 2 - Platense 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
04.02.26	Lanús 2 - Ferro 2	2:0
15.10.25	Ferro 2 - Lanús 2	3:2

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