Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Independiente

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	5.00
	1.74	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.49	5.02
	1.67	3.49	4.94
	1.67	3.10	4.80
	1.69	3.25	5.50
	2.18	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.16)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	4.66 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
52.2%

Draw
28%

Independiente
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Carril Oeste's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Carril Oeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, ⚽,
77', 5 - 1, ⚽,
80', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ferro is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 3.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 4:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ferro W	10	4	2	4	17:17	0	14
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
15.06.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	River Plate - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Banfield	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLT
- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
15.06.26	Independiente - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Lanús - Independiente	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Independiente - San Luis	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
30.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente	3:1
02.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente	5:2
16.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente	3:1
03.04.23	Independiente - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0
02.04.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente	3:0

Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide