Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 17

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferroviária		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.90	5.50
	1.39	3.95	6.6
	1.52	3.8	6.71
	1.54	3.75	6.58	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6.6
	1.5	3.94	6.74
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	6.33 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
61.6%

Draw
24%

Fluminense
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ferroviária - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 60. Brenda Pinheiro 20. Camila 16. Dos Santos 4. Luana (C) 8. Maressa 11. Mariana Santos 88. Nana 30. Sissi 9. Vendito	99. Kemelli (G) 7. Bruna Pele 33. Cotrim 180. Debora Sorriso 35. Driely 8. Karina 20. Keke 21. Lele 4. Nath Rodrigues 77. Raquel 10. Sochor
Substitutes
12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 24. Benitez Cabrera D. E. 25. Fatima Dutra 13. Grazy 17. Julia Beatriz 2. Kati 33. Kedima 26. Maria Fernanda 10. Micaelly 3. Monique 19. Rhaissa 23. Thayslane	30. Adrielly 26. Anny 13. Cacau 5. Claudinha 16. Colares B. 81. Duarte K. 3. Gislaine 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 41. Louvain

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Sochor ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vendito ↓, Thayslane ↑,
58', Driely 🟨,
64', Nana ↓, Micaelly ↑,
71', Bruna Pele ↓, Anny ↑,
72', Driely ↓, Claudinha ↑,
78', Mariana Santos ↓, Benitez Cabrera D. E. ↑,
79', Brenda Pinheiro ↓, Monique ↑,
81', Lele ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
81', Karina ↓, Gislaine ↑,
86', Dos Santos ↓, Rhaissa ↑,
89', Sochor ↓, Louvain ↑,
89', Raquel 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Micaelly ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferroviária is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferroviária is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Ferroviária will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
15.08.26	Internacional - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
08.08.26	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Ferroviária - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
29.07.26	Ferroviária - Taubaté	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
15.08.26	Fluminense - América Mineiro	4:1 ✺
10.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Internacional - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
21.07.26	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
01.05.25	Fluminense - Ferroviária	1:1
14.04.24	Ferroviária - Fluminense	2:1

Ferroviária - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide