Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 5

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)


	Ferroviária		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.00	17.50
	1.08	7.5	19.5	Watch
	1.08	8.54	17.95
	1.13	6.75	17.39	Watch
	1.06	8.45	17
	1.09	9.08	23
	1.08	7	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.06)	7.76 ↓ (8.4)	18.76 ↓ (27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
83.4%

Draw
11.7%

Taubaté
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.8%

10.8%

3.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ferroviária - Taubaté Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Sissi ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
84', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviária is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ferroviaria W	7	5	1	1	15:5	10	16
7	Taubate W	7	1	1	5	8:15	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
26.07.26	Juventude - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.07.26	Ferroviária - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
17.07.26	Corinthians - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
24.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Ferroviária	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.05.26	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWLWW
- AD Taubaté
Brasileiro A2 Women
25.07.26	Taubaté - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
17.07.26	Santos - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	São Paulo - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
30.05.26	Vila Nova - Taubaté	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Taubaté - Minas Brasília	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista Women
03.09.25	Taubaté - Ferroviária	0:2
08.05.25	Ferroviária - Taubaté	6:0
29.09.24	Ferroviária - Taubaté	2:0

Ferroviária - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide