Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:00	SportyNet, SportyNet+


	Ferroviária		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.30	4.33
	1.83	3.15	4.00	Watch
	1.81	3.18	4.46
	1.87	3.38	4.16	Watch
	1.77	3.10	4.35
	1.78	3.40	4.70	Watch
	1.74	3.35	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	4.34 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
51.1%

Draw
27.9%

Internacional de Limeira
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ferroviária (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 8. Alencar 44. Carlao 29. Eduardo Oliveira 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 99. Maranhao 5. Ricardinho 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor (C)	24. Renan Braganca (G) 20. Fabricio Dias 44. Fagner Alemao 21. Gabriel Dias 99. Getulio 29. Heitor Roca 34. Leo Paraiso 4. Lucas Santos 9. Miguel Bianconi (C) 35. Romarinho 19. Vitor Leque
Substitutes
21. Alan Stence 9. Denilson Silva 36. Douglas Skilo 12. Fabio Rampi (G) 7. Fau 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 27. Igor Henrique 18. Rafael Carillho 6. Rhuan 23. Schilling Arthur 19. Thiago M.	10. Claudinho 23. Emerson Junior (G) 31. Emerson Santos 98. Felipe Saraiva 11. Gustavo Bochecha 6. Joao Victor 26. Marco Antonio 32. Richard 16. Robinho 30. Robson 5. Ronaldo Henrique 1. Saulo (G)
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Romarinho 🟨,
45+2', Fabricio Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Lucas Rodrigues ⚽,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie B and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this matchup, Ferroviária is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviária has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ferroviária against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferroviária - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
03.10.26	Paysandu - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Brusque - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWT
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
03.10.26	Internacional de Limeira - Brusque	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Paysandu - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brusque - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	3:3
21.06.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:0
20.05.23	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	0:1

Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira