Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 8

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Ferroviária		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.1
	1.84	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.18	4.25
	1.82	3.23	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.84	3.3	4.27
	1.84	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.2 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
49.7%

Draw
28.5%

Santo André
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ferroviária - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Dudu Figueiredo (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Quirino ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferroviária will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.02.25	Ferroviária - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	4:3 ✺
29.01.25	Ferroviária - Taubaté	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Capivariano - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
22.01.25	Ferroviária - Ituano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLW
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.02.25	Santo André - Rio Claro	5:1 ✺
02.02.25	Piracicaba - Santo André	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Santo André - Votuporanguense	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Santo André - Taubaté	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.23	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:2
12.02.22	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:2
29.04.21	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2
26.01.20	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:1
14.02.18	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:1
22.02.17	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:1

Upcoming Matches