Match Info
Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 30 April 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ferroviária |
|
Ituano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3 |
3.2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.43 |
2.89 |
3.17 |
|
 |
2.46 |
2.76 |
3.08 |
Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.74 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.32) |
2.82 ↓
(2.9) |
3.14 ↓
(3.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ferroviária
38.4% | Draw
32.4% | Ituano
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Ferroviária - Ituano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Ferroviária might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
