Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 5

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)


	Ferroviária		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.52	3.85	5.1	Watch
	1.49	3.89	5.54
	1.63	3.48	5.33	Watch
	1.59	3.74	4.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	4.99 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
57.1%

Draw
24.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Duda (Pen),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ferroviária is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.06.25	Realidade Jovem - Ferroviária	0:4 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.06.25	América Mineiro - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Bahia - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
05.06.25	Ferroviária - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLTLT
- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
22.06.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.06.25	Red Bull Bragantino - 3B da Amazônia	5:1 ✺
14.06.25	Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.06.25	Realidade Jovem - Red Bull Bragantino	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
14.06.25	Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
Brazilian Paulista Women
05.06.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:1
Brasileiro Women
11.05.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:1
12.03.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:1

Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide