Match Info

Mocambola - Round 7

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviário de Maputo		Ferroviário da Beira

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.50	2.85
	2.80	2.43	2.80
	2.80	2.46	2.89
	2.82	2.53	2.92	Watch
	2.75	2.45	2.80
	2.74	2.50	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.37)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)	2.86 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário de Maputo
32.5%

Draw
36.2%

Ferroviário da Beira
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

33.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário de Maputo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário de Maputo's form might have worsened.

Ferroviário da Beira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferro de Maputo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro de Maputo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ferroviario Beira	23	11	7	5	26:17	9	40
7	Ferroviario Maputo	21	8	5	8	15:13	2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
18.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Sofala	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Maxaquene	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Black Bulls	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ferroviário de Nacala - Ferroviário de Maputo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLT?
- Ferroviário da Beira
Mozambique Moçambola
17.06.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviário da Beira	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Maxaquene	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ferroviário da Beira - UD Songo	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ferroviário da Beira - UD Songo	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
01.11.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	3:1
29.07.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0
13.09.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	1:0
22.07.23	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1
25.09.21	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1

Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira