Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	Bi Kanal


	Fethiyespor		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	7.1	3.95	1.35
	10.9	5.55	1.23
	7.2	4.15	1.41	Watch
	11	4.75	1.25
	10.7	5.15	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.38 ↑ (6.08)	4.71 ↑ (3.71)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fethiyespor
9.8%

Draw
19.4%

Bursaspor
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

23.8%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

23%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fethiyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bursaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bursaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fethiyespor - Bursaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Aydogdu S. ⚽, Depe I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, Turk Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig).

In recent matches, Fethiyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bursaspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Bursaspor is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fethiyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Fethiyespor	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fethiyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.03.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Fethiyespor - Menemenspor	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Kırklarelispor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.02.26	Fethiyespor - Isparta 32 Spor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLT
- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.03.26	Bursaspor - Guzide Gebzespor	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Bursaspor	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Muş Spor - Bursaspor	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Bursaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.25	Bursaspor - Fethiyespor	3:0

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