Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Fethiyespor		Mardin 1969

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.1	1.78
	4.29	3.34	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.24	3.22	1.8
	4.2	3.14	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (5.05)	3.16 ↓ (3.55)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fethiyespor
21.5%

Draw
28.5%

Mardin 1969
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

25.9%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.8%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fethiyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mardin 1969 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mardin 1969 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mardin 1969 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fethiyespor - Mardin 1969 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Fethiyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mardin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fethiyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mardin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fethiyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fethiyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fethiyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.12.25	Muş Spor - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Fethiyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Fethiyespor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.25	Bursaspor - Fethiyespor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWL
- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.12.25	Mardin 1969 - Guzide Gebzespor	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Mardin 1969	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Mardin 1969	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Mardin 1969 - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kırklarelispor - Mardin 1969	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
06.02.22	Mardin 1969 - Fethiyespor	2:1
25.09.21	Fethiyespor - Mardin 1969	2:1

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