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Current Win Probability
Fidelis Andria 37.2%
Draw 28.3%
Bisceglie 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28.4%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
30%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fidelis Andria's form might have worsened.
Bisceglie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bisceglie's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fidelis Andria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bisceglie than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bisceglie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fidelis Andria - Bisceglie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ferraro L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Gatto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Fidelis Andria is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bisceglie has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fidelis Andria is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Fidelis Andria has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 0.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fidelis Andria against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).
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