Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Fidelis Andria		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.45
	1.71	3.51	4.51	Watch
	1.74	3.38	4.34
	1.71	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)	4.41 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
53%

Draw
26.4%

Virtus Francavilla
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fidelis Andria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Sosa F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 1.

Fidelis Andria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Francavilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fidelis Andria is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fidelis Andria won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Acerrana - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Heraclea - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWTT
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Nola - Virtus Francavilla	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Virtus Francavilla - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
26.01.25	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:2
29.09.24	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.23	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
01.10.22	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	2:1
22.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.09.21	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.21	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	0:1

Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide