Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Fidelis Andria		Nardo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.45	4.05
	1.81	3.63	3.75	Watch
	1.76	3.42	4.22
	1.82	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	3.98 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
51%

Draw
26.1%

Nardo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Fidelis Andria - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Fidelis Andria is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fidelis Andria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nola	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Real Normanna - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Fidelis Andria - Gravina	4:1 ✺
24.09.25	Martina Calcio - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWT
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Heraclea - Nardo	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nardo - Afragolese	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Città di Fasano - Nardo	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Nardo - Nola	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Real Normanna - Nardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	1:0
20.10.24	Nardo - Fidelis Andria	0:2
12.05.24	Nardo - Fidelis Andria	1:0
07.01.24	Nardo - Fidelis Andria	1:0
09.05.21	Nardo - Fidelis Andria	1:1
17.01.21	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0

Fidelis Andria - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide