Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 4

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app, VIX App


	Finland		England

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.25
	11	6	1.26
	13	6	1.26
	13.5	6.1	1.27
	11.14	6.01	1.26	Watch
	9	5	1.3
	13.8	6.59	1.26	Watch
	13	6	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.93 ↑ (7.5)	5.96 ↑ (5.25)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Sports 1

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Current Win Probability

Finland
8%

Draw
16.1%

England
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

17.9%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting England's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.8%	3.5%	94.7%

Finland - England Predictions

Users Predictions: England will win (54 of 57 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (C) Bayer Leverkusen 17. Alho N. Asteras Tripolis 5. Hoskonen A. Cracovia 4. Ivanov R. Braunschweig 18. Uronen J. Charlotte FC 6. Kamara G. Rennes 11. Schuller R. Djurgarden 3. Peltola M. DC United 9. Jensen F. Augsburg 19. Kallman B. Cracovia 21. Keskinen T. Aberdeen	13. Henderson D. (G) Crystal Palace 2. Alexander-Arnold T. Liverpool 5. Stones J. Manchester City 6. Guehi M. Crystal Palace 12. Walker K. Manchester City 4. Rice D. Arsenal 19. Gomes A. Lille 20. Palmer C. Chelsea 17. Grealish J. Manchester City 9. Kane H. (C) Bayern Munich 8. Bellingham J. Real Madrid
Substitutes
7. Antman O. G.A. Eagles 2. Galvez T. LASK Linz 12. Joronen J. (G) Venezia 8. Lod R. Minnesota United 16. Nissila U. Puskas Academy 14. Pikkarainen J. Ilves 20. Pohjanpalo J. Venezia 10. Pukki T. Minnesota United 23. Sinisalo V. (G) Celtic 13. Stahl A. Djurgarden 15. Tenho M. Djurgarden 22. Walta L. Sirius	15. Colwill L. Chelsea 10. Foden P. Manchester City 14. Gallagher C. Atl. Madrid 11. Gordon A. Newcastle Utd 3. Lewis R. Manchester City 16. Livramento V. Newcastle Utd 23. Madueke N. Chelsea 1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 22. Pope N. (G) Newcastle Utd 21. Solanke D. Tottenham 18. Watkins O. Aston Villa
Coaches
Kanerva M.	Carsley L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Grealish J. ⚽, Gomes A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Schuller R. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
63', Kallman B. ↓, Pohjanpalo J. ↑,
69', Palmer C. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
69', Kane H. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Alexander-Arnold T. ⚽,
75', Keskinen T. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
75', Jensen F. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
80', Bellingham J. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
80', Gomes A. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
82', Alho N. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Rice D. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
85', Rice D. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Hoskonen A. ⚽, Walta L. (A),

Preview

In this match England is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Finland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland
UEFA Nations League
10.10.24	Finland - Ireland	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	England - Finland	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Greece - Finland	3:0 ✺
Friendly
07.06.24	Scotland - Finland	2:2 ✺
04.06.24	Portugal - Finland	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- England
UEFA Nations League
10.10.24	England - Greece	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	England - Finland	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ireland - England	0:2 ✺
UEFA Euro
14.07.24	Spain - England	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Netherlands - England	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
10.09.24	England - Finland	2:0

Finland - England: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide