Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 22

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Referee: Dini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Fiorentina		Lazio

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.45	3.3
	1.93	3.76	3.39
	1.96	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.99	3.75	3.34	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Lazio
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Fiorentina - Lazio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 44. Faerge E. 85. Filangeri M. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 16. Lombardi E. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 21. Severini E. (C) 26. Cherubini M. 15. Bredgaard S. 51. Omarsdottir I. 17. Eiriksdottir H.	28. Durante F. (G) 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 7. Connolly M. 27. D'Auria F. 20. Simonetti F. 13. Oliviero E. 16. Castiello A. (C) 25. Goldoni E. 14. Zanoli M. 17. Monnecchi M. 99. Visentin N.
Substitutes
31. Bartalini V. (G) 23. Bettineschi G. (G) 4. Bonfantini A. 77. Curmark F. 3. Johansen O. 25. Mailia S. 20. Orsi B. 18. Snerle E. 14. Toniolo M. 5. Tortelli A. 11. Wijnants S. 2. Woldvik E.	42. Bacic D. (G) 10. Benoit A. 77. Cafferata F. 5. Cesarini E. 32. Frenquellucci A. 9. Karczewska N. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 30. Mancini S. 6. Mesjasz M.
Coaches
Pinones-Arce P.	Grassadonia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', D'Auria F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Tryggvadottir K. ⚽, Lombardi E. (A),
40', Eiriksdottir H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Zanoli M. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑,
59', Fiskerstrand C. ↓, Bartalini V. ↑,
59', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Snerle E. ↑,
59', Cherubini M. ↓, Tortelli A. ↑,
64', Monnecchi M. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
65', Castiello A. ↓, Benoit A. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Tryggvadottir K. (A),
75', Baltrip-Reyes C. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
75', Goldoni E. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
77', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Mailia S. ↑,
84', Tryggvadottir K. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Karczewska N. ⚽, Simonetti F. (A),
90+2', Snerle E. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 4)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Fiorentina W: 4.99% Lazio W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fiorentina W	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Lazio W	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
09.05.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ternana - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.03.26	Juventus - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLL
- Lazio Women
Italian Serie A Women
10.05.26	Lazio - Ternana	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Parma - Lazio	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Inter Milan - Lazio	5:2 ✺
21.03.26	Lazio - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
24.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	3:0
25.01.25	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:0
19.10.24	Fiorentina - Lazio	3:2
26.02.22	Fiorentina - Lazio	2:2

Fiorentina - Lazio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide