Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 21

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Aloise F. (Ita)


	Genoa		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.7	1.58
	4.75	3.75	1.58
	4.87	4.16	1.6
	4.74	4.45	1.58	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.57
	4.93	3.88	1.56	Watch
	6	3.95	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↓ (6)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
18.5%

Draw
23.2%

Fiorentina
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.1%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

21.8%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Fiorentina aligns with the current prediction.

Genoa - Fiorentina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Forcinella C. (G) 17. Acuti A. (C) 15. Di Criscio F. 23. Vigilucci V. 44. Mele C. 18. Lie N. 19. Hilaj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 13. Bahr E. 29. Georgsdottir B. 9. Sondengaard A.	1. Fiskerstrand C. (C) 44. Faerge E. 85. Filangeri M. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 16. Lombardi E. 10. Catena M. 77. Curmark F. 15. Bredgaard S. 4. Bonfantini A. 51. Omarsdottir I. 17. Eiriksdottir H.
Substitutes
5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 10. Cinotti N. 16. Curraj A. 30. Giacobbo G. 20. Giles H. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 2. Lipman E. 74. Lucafo S. 45. Massa A. 27. Monterubbiano V.	31. Bartalini V. (G) 23. Bettineschi G. (G) 26. Cherubini M. 3. Johansen O. 25. Mailia S. 20. Orsi B. 21. Severini E. 30. Tomassoni E. 14. Toniolo M. 5. Tortelli A. 11. Wijnants S. 2. Woldvik E.
Coaches
De La Fuente S.	Pinones-Arce P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Hilaj A. ⚽, Cuschieri R. (A),
11', Acuti A. 🟨,
20', Sondengaard A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Bonfantini A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Georgsdottir B. ↓, Monterubbiano V. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Van Der Zanden I. ⚽,
58', Bahr E. ↓, Massa A. ↑,
59', Hilaj A. ↓, Cinotti N. ↑,
64', Lombardi E. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
64', Bonfantini A. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
64', Mele C. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
66', Cinotti N. 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, Omarsdottir I. ⚽, Faerge E. (A),
74', Lie N. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
77', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Tortelli A. ↑,
84', Catena M. ↓, Tomassoni E. ↑,
84', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Mailia S. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Sondengaard A. ⚽, Bargi C. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women and 6).

Genoa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fiorentina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Fiorentina W: 4.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fiorentina W	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa Women
Italian Serie A Women
02.05.26	Sassuolo - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Napoli - Genoa	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Genoa - Juventus	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Parma - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLLTT
- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
03.05.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ternana - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.03.26	Juventus - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1
Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Fiorentina - Genoa	2:1

Genoa - Fiorentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide