Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Fiorentina U20		Milan U20

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	4.05
	1.82	3.77	3.81	Watch
	1.74	4.08	3.98
	1.94	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.71 ↓ (3.77)	3.84 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
51.2%

Draw
24.8%

Milan U20
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Milan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fei G. (G) 19. Trapani N. 5. Sadotti E. 23. Kospo E. 33. Evangelista C. 16. Keita B. 4. Bonanno P. 14. Kone M. 21. Angiolini G. 7. Bertolini G. 9. Braschi R.	48. Bouyer L. P. (G) 29. Perera N. 33. Colombo F. 20. Zukic D. 39. Nolli L. 28. Plazzotta F. 8. Mancioppi T. 22. Ossola L. 79. Cisse M. 45. Scotti F. 38. Castiello A.
Substitutes
80. Atzeni D. 24. Batignani F. 31. Conti G. 8. Deli L. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 18. Jallow S. 3. Masoni T. 28. Mazzeo B. 47. Montenegro L. 72. Sturli E. 6. Turnone N.	97. Angelicchio M. 99. Bianchi A. (G) . Catalano A. (G) 77. Cullotta A. 13. Del Forno L. 17. Di Siena A. 98. Dotta C. 5. Pagliei M. 3. Tartaglia E. 95. Vechiu C. 25. Viana Seedorf

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Braschi R. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Ossola L. ⚽,
45+1', Plazzotta F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kone M. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
47', Zukic D. 🟨,
65', Bonanno P. ↓, Montenegro L. ↑,
65', Angiolini G. ↓, Atzeni D. ↑,
72', Mancioppi T. 🟨,
78', Keita B. ↓, Conti G. ↑,
83', Castiello A. ↓, Di Siena A. ↑,
84', Kospo E. 🟨,
85', Braschi R. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', Mancioppi T. ↓, Tartaglia E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Fiorentina U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Milan U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fiorentina U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
09.11.25	Frosinone U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina U20 - Atalanta U20	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Bologna U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Fiorentina U20 - Verona U20	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Monza U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTW
- AC Milan U20
Italian Primavera 1
08.11.25	Milan U20 - Juventus U20	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Lazio U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Milan U20 - Cesena U20	7:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta U20 - Milan U20	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Milan U20 - Monza U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
19.01.25	Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1
28.10.24	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:3

Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide