Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio di Fiorentino (Fiorentino)


	Fiorentino		Cailungo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.65
	1.68	3.76	4.44	Watch
	1.69	3.4	4.52	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	4.5 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentino
54.3%

Draw
25.5%

Cailungo
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

21.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Fiorentino - Cailungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Luca P. ⚽, Bottoni Luca (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 3.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

In this match, Fiorentino is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.11.25	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Fiorentino - Virtus	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.11.25	Cailungo - Tre Fiori	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Domagnano - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cailungo - San Giovanni	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1 penalties ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	La Fiorita - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
09.11.24	Fiorentino - Cailungo	1:0
24.01.24	Cailungo - Fiorentino	0:3
23.09.23	Fiorentino - Cailungo	0:1
16.04.23	Fiorentino - Cailungo	6:0
07.01.23	Cailungo - Fiorentino	2:2
02.04.22	Fiorentino - Cailungo	4:0
13.09.20	Fiorentino - Cailungo	1:1

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