The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentino 54.8%
Draw 24.8%
Cailungo 20.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66%
20.9%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
20%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentino's form might have worsened.
Cailungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cailungo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cailungo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fiorentino - Cailungo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Pintore M. ⚽, Khalifa A. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Bernardi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 4.
Fiorentino has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cailungo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fiorentino may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Fiorentino as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentino has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:6 (averaging 2.1:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fiorentino against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:2 goals (averaging 2.2:0.3 per game).