Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 8

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Tre Fiori		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.45	9.4
	1.47	4.09	5.95	Watch
	1.37	4.48	8.74
	1.3	4.5	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	4.38 ↑ (4.08)	8.42 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
68%

Draw
21%

Fiorentino
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Fiori's performance.

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Tre Fiori - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Prandelli M. ⚽, Sami B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Bernardi T. L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 3.

Tre Fiori is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tre Fiori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tre Fiori is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Tre Fiori will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
24.10.25	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Fiori	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Fiori	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWWWW
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Fiorentino - Virtus	0:4 ✺
03.10.25	Folgore - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Fiorentino - Domagnano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.05.25	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:2
04.05.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	3:1
15.02.25	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	1:1
27.01.24	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	2:1
30.09.23	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	1:0
02.04.23	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:1
04.12.22	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:3

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