The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tre Fiori 65.5%
Draw 20.5%
Fiorentino 14%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62%
20.8%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
20%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Tre Fiori - Fiorentino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 4.
Tre Fiori is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Fiorentino have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tre Fiori carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Tre Fiori has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:9 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tre Fiori against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:5 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Tre Fiori - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 62.04%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.