Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Fittja		Nacka FC

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	3.15	3.95	1.9
	2.9	3.98	1.88
	2.96	4.26	1.94	Watch
	2.8	3.9	1.84
	3	3.96	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.2)	3.94 ↑ (3.55)	1.96 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fittja
31.3%

Draw
22.8%

Nacka FC
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

23.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fittja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fittja's form might have worsened.

Nacka FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacka FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fittja than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fittja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacka FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fittja - Nacka FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nacka (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Dahlqvist M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Isaza K. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 12th in the Division 2 ~ Su00f6dra Svealand (Relegation)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fittja has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fittja	24	10	3	11	37:38	-1	33
12	Nacka FC	24	7	3	14	26:45	-19	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fittja IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
19.09.26	Smedby - Fittja	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fittja - Forward	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Syrianska - Fittja	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Fittja - Örebro Syrianska	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Eker Örebro - Fittja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLW
- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
19.09.26	Nacka FC - Rågsved	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sleipner - Nacka FC	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Farsta - Nacka FC	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Forward - Nacka FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
03.04.26	Nacka FC - Fittja	2:1

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