Match Info

Date: 18 July 2020, Saturday


	Fjölnir		FH Hafnarfjordur

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.62
	4.5	4.25	1.62	Watch
	4.1	3.9	1.64
	4.07	4.25	1.77
	4.33	4.2	1.65
	4.4	4.33	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (5.64)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	1.66 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
21.4%

Draw
22.9%

FH Hafnarfjordur
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

18.9%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fjölnir's performance.

FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FH Hafnarfjordur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fjölnir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FH Hafnarfjordur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	6.2%	25%

Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Hafnarfjordur will win (votes: 8 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fjölnir: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.20	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
08.07.20	Fjölnir - Grótta	0:3 ✺
04.07.20	Fjölnir - Fylkir	1:2 ✺
29.06.20	Breiðablik - Fjölnir	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.06.20	Fjölnir - Selfoss	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW
- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fylkir	1:2 ✺
08.07.20	Breiðablik - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:3 ✺
29.06.20	Vikingur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.06.20	Throttur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Akraness	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.07.18	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	1:0
13.05.18	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:3
21.09.17	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:1
22.05.17	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	1:2
15.08.16	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:1
16.05.16	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	2:0
26.09.15	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	2:1

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