The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fjölnir 27.6%
Draw 24.8%
IR Reykjavik 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
24.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
24.2%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fjölnir's form might have worsened.
IR Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IR Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fjölnir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IR Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Fjölnir - IR Reykjavik Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. IR Reykjavik will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. IR Reykjavik (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - IR Reykjavik (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - IR Reykjavik (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. IR Reykjavik (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Stefansson S. (G) 88. Arnarsson K. 6. Arnason A. 2. Gudjonsson B. (C) 3. Haraldsson R. 23. Hilmarsson H. 10. Hilmarsson M. 14. Ingvarsson D. 9. Sigursteinsson A. 8. Thorhalsson O. 45. Thrastarson R.
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 3. Baldursson B. 4. Gunnarsson S. 44. Hardarson A. 9. Helgason B. 8. Kostic A. 23. Kristinsson A. 6. Marteinsson K. 13. McAusland M. (C) 30. Punyed R. 16. Sigurhjartarson E.
Substitutes
25. Hardarson S. (G) 77. Ivarsson A. 18. Johannsson T. 7. Jonasson O. 16. Jorgensson M. 4. Orrason T. 15. Sigurjonsson F.
17. Einarsson O. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 20. Ivarsson I. 14. Ivarsson V. 19. Matthiasson H. 21. Orri Ingimarsson S. (G) 25. Petersen G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Hardarson A. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
32', Thorhalsson O. 🟨,
44', Gudjonsson B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Punyed R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Punyed R. ↓, Matthiasson H. ↑,
51', Arnason A. 🟨,
52', Thorhalsson O. ↓, Jorgensson M. ↑,
64', Sigurhjartarson E. ↓, Ivarsson V. ↑,
64', Hardarson A. ↓, Einarsson O. ↑,
67', Arnarsson K. ↓, Jonasson O. ↑,
76', Hilmarsson M. ↓, Orrason T. ↑,
76', Arnason A. ↓, Sigurjonsson F. ↑,
76', Sigursteinsson A. ↓, Ivarsson A. ↑,
76', Baldursson B. ↓, Petersen G. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 1.
Fjölnir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
IR Reykjavik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
IR Reykjavik will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Fjölnir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).