Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		IR Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.6	2.87
	2.09	3.65	2.75
	2.18	3.82	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.2	3.66	2.93	Watch
	2.09	3.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)	3.65 ↑ (3.61)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
43.2%

Draw
25%

IR Reykjavik
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

IR Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - IR Reykjavik (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Thor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thor Akureyri will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 3 - 60%). IR Reykjavik (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 27. Sindrason A.	1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 3. Baldursson B. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 44. Hardarson A. 9. Helgason B. 8. Kostic A. 23. Kristinsson A. 6. Marteinsson K. 19. Matthiasson H. 13. McAusland M. (C) 16. Sigurhjartarson E.
Substitutes
5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 25. Arnason P. 24. Geirsson Y. 18. Ingason S. 22. Jonsson K. 28. Lalic F. (G)	7. Bjarkason O. 27. Hlynsson J. (G) 22. Ingolfsson J. 20. Ivarsson I. 14. Ivarsson V. 25. Petersen G. 26. Vidusha Desapriya S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Hardarson A. ⚽,
20', McAusland M. 🟥,
30', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
37', Hardarson A. ↓, Bjarkason O. ↑,
42', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
42', Sindrason A. ↓, Geirsson Y. ↑,
45', Kostic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sigurhjartarson E. ↓, Ivarsson V. ↑,
52', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
66', Ottosson V. ↓, Arnarsson A. ↑,
70', Matthiasson H. ↓, Petersen G. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Bayiha C. ⚽,
77', Sigurjonsson O. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 3.

Thor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

IR Reykjavik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Thor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Thor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
04.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Völsungur	1:3 ✺
30.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	2:4 ✺
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.25	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWLW
- IR Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
04.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Fjölnir - IR Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	IR Reykjavik - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Njarðvík - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
09.05.25	HK Kópavogur - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
19.04.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	3:1
Icelandic Division 1
31.08.24	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1
30.06.24	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1
14.08.18	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	5:2
02.06.18	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	0:1
11.08.17	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	0:0
03.06.17	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	2:1

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