Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Fjölnisvöllur (Grafarvogur)


	Fjölnir		Grindavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.8	2.7
	2.08	3.85	2.65	Watch
	2.17	4.12	2.72
				Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.04	3.8	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.79)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	2.75 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
43.3%

Draw
23.7%

Grindavik
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

19.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fjölnir's form might have worsened.

Grindavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grindavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grindavik than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Fjölnir - Grindavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grindavik will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grindavik: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Grindavik (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fjölnir (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grindavik will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fjölnir (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grindavik (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Hardarson S. (G) 10. Arnarsson K. 11. Hafstein B. T. 3. Haraldsson R. (C) 26. Hardarson E. O. 23. Hilmarsson H. 16. Jorgensson M. 4. Orrason T. 27. Sigmarsson S. 9. Sigursteinsson A. 20. Vilhjalmsson E.	1. Niemela M. (G) 5. Ellertsson M. 14. Eysteinsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 23. Gudmundsson S. 6. Hauksson V. 11. Hermannsson B. 16. Nieblas D. 9. Robertsson A. (C) 26. Runarsson E. 10. Sigurdsson I.
Substitutes
17. Hjalmarsson V. 77. Ivarsson A. 18. Johannsson T. 15. Sigurjonsson F. 13. Stefansson S. (G) 8. Thorhalsson O. 45. Thrastarson R.	19. Arnarsson A. 25. Gudmundsson F. F. 4. Hammer A. 22. Olafsson L. 12. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 20. Thorfinnsson M. 21. Tomasson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Vilhjalmsson E. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Sigmarsson S. ⚽, Hardarson E. O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Robertsson A. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
64', Vilhjalmsson E. ↓, Thrastarson R. ↑,
69', Hafstein B. T. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Finnbogason A. ⚽,
71', Ellertsson M. 🟨,
74', 2 - 2, Robertsson A. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Robertsson A. ⚽,
82', Arnarsson A. 🟨,
85', Robertsson A. ↓, Arnarsson A. ↑,
88', Hauksson V. ↓, Thorfinnsson M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 3.

Recent performances by Fjölnir have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grindavik is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fjölnir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 2.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fjölnir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 3.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
04.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:5 ✺
19.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	1:4 ✺
13.06.25	HK Kópavogur - Fjölnir	3:0 ✺
09.06.25	Fjölnir - Selfoss	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWLL
- Grindavik
Icelandic Division 1
07.07.25	Grindavik - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
03.07.25	Grindavik - Njarðvík	1:5 ✺
27.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Grindavik	6:1 ✺
21.06.25	Grindavik - Völsungur	2:4 ✺
13.06.25	Fylkir - Grindavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
10.05.25	Grindavik - Fjölnir	3:3
Icelandic League Cup
05.03.25	Fjölnir - Grindavik	2:3
Icelandic Division 1
18.07.24	Fjölnir - Grindavik	5:1
01.05.24	Grindavik - Fjölnir	2:3
21.08.23	Fjölnir - Grindavik	5:1
15.06.23	Grindavik - Fjölnir	0:1
18.08.22	Fjölnir - Grindavik	4:3

Fjölnir - Grindavik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide