Match Info

Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Fjölnisvöllur (Grafarvogur)


	Fjölnir		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.9	1.61
	3.7	4.57	1.75
				Watch
	4.2	4	1.65
	3.91	4.1	1.67	Watch
	3.8	3.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.8)	4.1 ↑ (3.98)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
23.4%

Draw
22.4%

Thor Akureyri
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

22.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Thor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Akureyri will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Stefansson S. (G) 10. Arnarsson K. 11. Hafstein B. T. 3. Haraldsson R. 26. Hardarson E. O. 23. Hilmarsson H. 14. Ingvarsson D. 7. Jonasson O. 16. Jorgensson M. 4. Orrason T. 45. Thrastarson R.	1. Stefansson A. (G) 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 18. Ingason S. 5. Ingvason P. V. 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 27. Sindrason A. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
25. Hardarson S. (G) 77. Ivarsson A. 18. Johannsson T. 21. Laufarsson B. 27. Sigmarsson S. 15. Sigurjonsson F. 20. Vilhjalmsson E.	2. Arnarsson A. 24. Geirsson Y. 8. Halldorsson E. 30. Helgason P. 16. Hjorvarsson N. 12. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽,
17', Jonasson O. 🟨,
18', Ottosson V. ↓, Geirsson Y. ↑,
24', Sindrason A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Balde I. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', Bayiha C. 🟨,
55', Jorgensson M. 🟨,
55', Victor R. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
55', Arnarsson K. ↓, Vilhjalmsson E. ↑,
55', Sindrason A. ↓, Hjorvarsson N. ↑,
62', Stefansson S. 🟥,
64', Hardarson E. O. ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Runarsson H. ⚽,
70', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Helgason P. ↑,
74', Hilmarsson H. 🟨,
78', 0 - 4, Balde I. ⚽,
85', 0 - 5, Magnusson A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Thor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Thor is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:16. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fjölnir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
19.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	1:4 ✺
13.06.25	HK Kópavogur - Fjölnir	3:0 ✺
09.06.25	Fjölnir - Selfoss	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Njarðvík - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Fjölnir - IR Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLLTL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
22.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
14.06.25	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	3:1 ✺
09.06.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
04.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Völsungur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
18.08.24	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1
15.06.24	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	1:0
Icelandic Cup
14.05.24	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:2
Icelandic League Cup
10.03.24	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	0:1
26.05.23	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	6:0
15.07.22	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:4

Upcoming Matches