Match Info

Division 1 - Round 20

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Fjölnisvöllur (Grafarvogur)


	Fjölnir		Throttur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	4	1.7
	4.35	4.55	1.51
	4.57	4.82	1.56
	3.91	4.74	1.64	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.73
	4.53	4.5	1.53	Watch
	3.15	3.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.19)	4.34 ↑ (3.9)	1.65 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
23.1%

Draw
21.1%

Throttur Reykjavik
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

23.3%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fjölnir's form might have worsened.

Throttur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Throttur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Throttur Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Throttur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Throttur Reykjavik will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Hardarson S. (G) 10. Arnarsson K. 11. Hafstein B. T. 26. Hardarson E. O. 23. Hilmarsson H. 19. Ingason J. 14. Ingvarsson D. (C) 30. Norby L. 27. Sigmarsson S. 9. Sigursteinsson A. 8. Thorhalsson O.	1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 5. Gudbergsson K. 21. Hardarson B. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 22. Kristjansson K. 45. Sigurdsson V. 8. Stefansson B. (C) 25. Thorhallsson H. 7. Tomasson H.
Substitutes
6. Arnason A. 2. Gudjonsson B. 17. Hjalmarsson V. 7. Jonasson O. 16. Jorgensson M. 13. Stefansson S. (G) 20. Vilhjalmsson E.	6. Einarsson E. 9. Hafthorsson V. 19. Haraldsson B. 80. Jeffs L. 12. Jonsson B. (G) 20. Steinarsson V. 4. Thorhallsson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Thorhallsson H. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Sigursteinsson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sigurdsson V. ↓, Jeffs L. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Jeffs L. ⚽,
62', Stefansson B. 🟨,
63', Ingason J. ↓, Hjalmarsson V. ↑,
71', Ingvarsson U. ↓, Hafthorsson V. ↑,
71', Gudbergsson K. ↓, Thorhallsson N. ↑,
74', Hafstein B. T. ↓, Jonasson O. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Thorhallsson H. ⚽, Kristjansson K. (A),
83', Sigursteinsson A. ↓, Gudjonsson B. ↑,
83', Thorhalsson O. ↓, Vilhjalmsson E. ↑,
90+2', Jeffs L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 2.

Fjölnir has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Throttur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Throttur is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fjölnir won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:17. (average 3.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fjölnir won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:6. (average 4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
23.08.25	Fjölnir - HK Kópavogur	1:5 ✺
17.08.25	Selfoss - Fjölnir	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Fjölnir - Njarðvík	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Fjölnir	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	Fjölnir - Völsungur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTT
- Throttur Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
23.08.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Njarðvík - Throttur Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
13.08.25	Throttur Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Völsungur - Throttur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
29.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
19.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	1:4
Icelandic League Cup
14.02.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	3:1
Icelandic Division 1
31.07.24	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	0:0
23.05.24	Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik	3:1
16.07.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	2:2
11.05.23	Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik	3:3
Icelandic League Cup
10.02.23	Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik	4:1

Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide