Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Fjölnisvöllur (Grafarvogur)


	Fjölnir		ÍBV Vestmannaeyar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.65	3.55	2.18	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.27
	2.59	3.68	2.32
	2.7	3.7	2.15
	2.72	3.62	2.21
	2.65	3.55	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.07)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	2.21 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
33.9%

Draw
25%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

24.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fjölnir's form might have worsened.

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ÍBV Vestmannaeyar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fjölnir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Fjölnir - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). ÍBV will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Georgsson H. (G) 7. Axelsson D. 22. Berndsen B. 29. Gudmundsson G. 3. Haraldsson R. 10. Hardarson A. 5. Hilmarsson D. 9. Hilmarsson M. 14. Ingvarsson D. 4. Juliusson J. 8. Thorlacius O.	12. Arnarsson H. (G) 18. Gunnarsson B. 22. Heidarsson O. 10. Hjaltested S. 7. Hrafnkelsson G. 5. Ingason J. 16. Magnusson T. 4. Nokkvason N. 24. Ragnarsson H. 45. Runarsson E. 8. Valor V.
Substitutes
11. Arnarsson J. 20. Hafstein B. T. 25. Hardarson S. (G) 17. Hjalmarsson V. 18. Jonasson O. 27. Sigmarsson S.	1. Eliasson J. (G) 44. Hardarson A. 25. Hilmarsson A. 6. Hilmarsson H. 20. Omarsson E. 11. Thorvardarson V. 31. Valgeirsson V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, Gunnarsson B. ⚽,
39', Heidarsson O. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Magnusson T. ⚽, Hjaltested S. (A),
45', 0 - 3, Valor V. ⚽, Ragnarsson H. (A),
45', 0 - 4, Heidarsson O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hilmarsson D. ↓, Hjalmarsson V. ↑,
56', 0 - 5, Heidarsson O. ⚽, Valor V. (A),
58', Ingason J. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
62', Hardarson A. ↓, Sigmarsson S. ↑,
62', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
73', Thorlacius O. ↓, Hafstein B. T. ↑,
75', 🟨,
80', 1 - 5, Hilmarsson M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
31.07.24	Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir	0:0 ✺
26.07.24	Fjölnir - Dalvík Reynir	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Fjölnir - Grindavik	5:1 ✺
11.07.24	Leiknir Reykjavík - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
04.07.24	Fjölnir - Keflavík	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWWT
- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Division 1
03.08.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Thor Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Dalvík Reynir	1:0 ✺
11.07.24	Throttur Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
01.06.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	2:2
07.09.21	Fjölnir - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:1
18.06.21	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	1:0
Icelandic League Cup
13.03.21	Fjölnir - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:3
Icelandic Cup
29.05.19	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	2:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.07.18	Fjölnir - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:1
06.05.18	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	1:1

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