Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Fjøra		Gneist

	1	X	2
	1.92	4.47	2.76
	2.82	4.21	2.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.82)	4.34 ↑ (4.21)	2.38 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjøra
39.3%

Draw
21.5%

Gneist
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

21.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

21.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjøra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fjøra's performance.

Gneist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gneist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjøra than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fjøra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gneist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Ardal M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Hovland M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 3 - 0, Heggestad N. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Arnesen T. N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Fjøra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gneist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fjøra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gneist could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fjøra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fjøra FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.10.25	Loddefjord - Fjøra	7:3 ✺
04.10.25	Fjøra - Askøy	4:3 ✺
27.09.25	Sandefjord 2 - Fjøra	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fjøra - Bjarg	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Fana - Fjøra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLT
- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.10.25	Lyn 2 - Gneist	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Gneist - Åsane 2	0:5 ✺
27.09.25	Lyngbø SK - Gneist	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Gneist - Førde	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fyllingsdalen - Gneist	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.07.25	Gneist - Fjøra	1:1

Fjøra - Gneist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide