Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Flamengo RJ U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.15	2.82	3.3
	2.32	2.39	3.8
	2.26	2.65	3.66	Watch
	2.25	2.35	3.75
	2.04	3.39	3.39
	2.16	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)	3.47 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo RJ U20
41.3%

Draw
32.6%

Fluminense U20
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo RJ U20's form might have worsened.

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamengo RJ U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Flamengo U20 is Qualified for Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo U20 won 4.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

In this matchup, Flamengo U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo U20 has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:16 (averaging 1.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flamengo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ U20 ✔	9	8	0	1	25:8	17	24
2	Fluminense U20 ✔	9	7	2	0	23:7	16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
19.09.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	6:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
08.09.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Forte Rio Bananal U20	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Carioca U20
04.09.26	Bangu U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
19.09.26	Fluminense U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	5:1 ✺
16.09.26	Fluminense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Fluminense U20 - Bangu U20	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
22.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0
Brazilian Carioca U20
30.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:4
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1
Brasileiro U20
03.04.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2
Brazilian Carioca U20
03.08.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
18.06.24	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
14.04.24	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1

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