Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		Foligno

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	2.16	3.05	2.95
	2.09	3.13	3.06
	2.15	2.88	3.2
	2.12	3.14	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.99)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
42.9%

Draw
29%

Foligno
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

19.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flaminia Civita Castellana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foligno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Foligno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Flaminia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Flaminia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Flaminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.11.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
21.11.21	UniPomezia - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Trestina	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Scandicci - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWL
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.12.21	Foligno - Pianese	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Scandicci - Foligno	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Foligno - Scandicci	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.11.21	Foligno - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Poggibonsi - Foligno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
13.06.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Foligno	2:2
07.02.21	Foligno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:1
01.12.19	Foligno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:3
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.09.16	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Foligno	3:1

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Foligno

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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