Match Info
Serie D - Group G - Round 17Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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Flaminia Civita Castellana |
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Montespaccato |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.45 |
4.35 |
|
 |
2.26 |
3.43 |
2.79 |
 Watch |
 |
1.62 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.85 |
4.68 |
|
 |
1.61 |
4 |
4.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.24) |
3.65 ↑
(3.38) |
4.15 ↑
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Flaminia Civita Castellana
52.2% | Draw
25.4% | Montespaccato
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flaminia Civita Castellana's performance.Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montespaccato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flaminia Civita Castellana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montespaccato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Polidori A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', 2 - 0, Polidori A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flaminia won 5.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Flaminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Flaminia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Flaminia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Flaminia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 15.01.23 | Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato | 2:1 | | 11.09.22 | Montespaccato - Flaminia Civita Castellana | 1:2 | | 10.04.22 | Montespaccato - Flaminia Civita Castellana | 0:2 | | 28.11.21 | Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato | 3:2 | | 14.04.21 | Montespaccato - Flaminia Civita Castellana | 1:2 | | 23.12.20 | Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato | 1:0 |
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