Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadiumi Flamurtari (Vlorë)


	Flamurtari Vlorë		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.45	5
	1.85	3.53	3.78	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.33
	1.63	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	4.53 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamurtari Vlorë
53.2%

Draw
26.6%

Besa Kavajë
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

31.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamurtari Vlorë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamurtari Vlorë's performance.

Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Besa Kavajë might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamurtari Vlorë than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamurtari Vlorë that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Flamurtari Vlorë - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamurtari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Patrick Nonato ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Indio Oliveira ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamurtari won 2.

Flamurtari is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Besa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Besa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Flamurtari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Flamurtari won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Flamurtari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamurtari Vlorë
Albanian First Division
30.03.25	Burreli - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:4 ✺
09.03.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Apolonia Fier - Flamurtari Vlorë	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWW
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
30.03.25	Besa Kavajë - Erzeni	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Besa Kavajë - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Besa Kavajë	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Cup
20.11.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Besa Kavajë	0:1
Albanian First Division
05.11.24	Besa Kavajë - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:0
29.01.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Besa Kavajë	0:0
07.10.23	Besa Kavajë - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:2
27.02.23	Besa Kavajë - Flamurtari Vlorë	1:4
22.11.20	Flamurtari Vlorë - Besa Kavajë	0:3
Albanian Super League
13.03.14	Besa Kavajë - Flamurtari Vlorë	3:1

Flamurtari Vlorë - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide