Match Info

ALBANIA: Kategoria e Parë - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Lushnja		Flamurtari Vlorë

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.35	1.7
	4.81	3.36	1.71	Watch
	4.88	3.35	1.68
	4.7	3.35	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.25)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lushnja
19.1%

Draw
27.2%

Flamurtari Vlorë
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lushnja's form might have worsened.

Flamurtari Vlorë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamurtari Vlorë's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lushnja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamurtari Vlorë than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamurtari Vlorë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Shkurtaj V. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Hasa F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 3, Cobian J. ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Bangaly D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lushnja won 0.

Recent matches Lushnja is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamurtari in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flamurtari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lushnja have a series of home games.

Flamurtari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lushnja won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1:14 (average 0.1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lushnja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
05.03.25	Lushnja - Burreli	1:3 ✺
28.02.25	Pogradeci - Lushnja	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Lushnja - Erzeni	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWL
- Flamurtari Vlorë
Albanian First Division
09.03.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Apolonia Fier - Flamurtari Vlorë	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Korabi Peshkopi	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Kukësi - Flamurtari Vlorë	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Valbona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
02.02.25	Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:3
31.10.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Lushnja	2:1
16.03.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Lushnja	0:0
28.09.23	Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:4
04.03.23	Flamurtari Vlorë - Lushnja	3:0
08.10.22	Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë	0:0
Albanian Super League
18.02.18	Flamurtari Vlorë - Lushnja	2:0

Lushnja - Flamurtari Vlorë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide