Match Info

NORWAY: NM CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday


	Flekkerøy		Start

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.75	1.57
	3.7	4	1.66
	3.75	5.2	1.52
	4.02	3.88	1.63
	4	3.8	1.67
	3.9	4.05	1.75
	4.1	4.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.09)	4.27 ↓ (5.13)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flekkerøy
23.3%

Draw
21.2%

Start
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

17.8%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

17.3%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flekkerøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flekkerøy - Start Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Flekkerøy is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Start is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Start could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Start is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flekkerøy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Flekkerøy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.05.23	Flekkerøy - Grorud	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Fram Larvik - Flekkerøy	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Flekkerøy - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Notodden - Flekkerøy	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Flekkerøy - Træff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTL
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Åsane - Start	2:2 ✺
16.05.23	Start - Sandnes Ulf	3:3 ✺
13.05.23	Skeid - Start	1:4 ✺
07.05.23	Start - Hødd	4:2 ✺
03.05.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Start	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.23	Start - Flekkerøy	5:1
14.02.20	Start - Flekkerøy	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.17	Flekkerøy - Start	4:3
Club Friendly
25.03.15	Flekkerøy - Start	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
30.05.13	Flekkerøy - Start	1:2

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