Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Start		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.2	1.77	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.93
	3.6	4.05	1.85	Watch
	3.68	4.26	1.85
	3.62	4.12	1.84	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.85
	3.62	4.1	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	4.01 ↑ (4)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
26.4%

Draw
23.2%

Lillestrøm SK
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

23.3%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Start - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lillestrøm SK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 6. Norheim J. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 11. Schulze E. (C) 10. Mvoue S. 18. Ugland M. 16. Strannegard T. 20. Lorentzen H. 25. Benjamin T.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 19. Tonnesen K. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 23. Asen G. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Olsen T. 17. Kitolano E.
Substitutes
19. Dashaev D. 30. Gausdal L. 29. Gono E. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 22. Nilsen A. E. 21. Sjokvist S. 14. Soomets M. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G)	14. Adedeji J. 7. Alperud L. 33. Diop M. 11. Elkaer F. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 30. Svenningsen L. 27. Waehler M. 32. Woxen H.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Benjamin T. ↓, Gono E. ↑,
18', Gono E. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ranger L. ⚽, Drammeh S. (A),
45+2', Strannegard T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Hansen S. 🟨,
55', Ranger L. 🟨,
63', Ugland M. 🟨,
64', Asen G. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
64', Tonnesen K. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,
67', Woxen H. 🟨,
72', Schulze E. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,
72', Ugland M. ↓, Sjokvist S. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Elkaer F. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Woxen H. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
88', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
88', Drammeh S. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
88', Strannegard T. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
88', Palerud F. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
90+1', Kitolano E. ↓, Waehler M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Start may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lillestrøm has had a series of home games.

Lillestrøm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Start won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Odd - Start	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Start - Stabæk	5:1 ✺
18.06.25	Ranheim - Start	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Start - Lyn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWT
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	0:4 ✺
18.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Åsane	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
11.12.19	Lillestrøm SK - Start	4:3
07.12.19	Start - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
16.09.18	Start - Lillestrøm SK	3:0
09.04.18	Lillestrøm SK - Start	1:0
Club Friendly
09.12.16	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.16	Lillestrøm SK - Start	1:1
13.03.16	Start - Lillestrøm SK	1:1

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