Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	Flekkerøy		Aalesunds 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.98	3.55	3.51
	1.95	3.25	3.2
	1.94	3.66	3.36
	2	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.52 ↓ (3.57)	3.23 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flekkerøy
46.2%

Draw
25.8%

Aalesunds 2
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flekkerøy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Flekkerøy - Aalesunds 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flekkerøy will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aalesunds 2 will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flekkerøy: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knezovic A. (G) 10. Dovland P. 23. Eftevaag J. 8. Gamachis D. 18. Hauge A. 20. Hille P. 17. Ibishi D. 4. Kongerud T. 3. Lien F. 31. Ujkani A. 15. Ystanes S. (C)	26. Larsen T. (G) 23. Berntsen S. 21. Breivik C. 32. Diop M. 2. Giskegjerde O. 3. Hagen I. 33. Holte S. (C) 25. Kilen S. 20. Kolve E. 8. Melland H. 30. Odven K.
Substitutes
21. Hilmarsson W. 29. Kloster A. 13. Kristiansen M. (G) 7. Rokseth M. 16. Sigurdsen K. 14. You X.	24. Gulbrandsen T. 11. Hjelle M. 1. Midthjell S. (G) 17. Norvik J. 16. Roth S.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Flekkerøy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aalesunds 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flekkerøy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Flekkerøy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Egersund - Flekkerøy	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Flekkerøy - Lyn	1:3 ✺
29.05.23	Brattvåg - Flekkerøy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTLL
- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.06.23	Arendal - Aalesunds 2	3:1 ✺
18.06.23	Aalesunds 2 - Lyn	1:2 ✺
30.05.23	Vålerenga 2 - Aalesunds 2	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Aalesunds 2 - Egersund	0:1 ✺
08.05.23	Kjelsås - Aalesunds 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

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