Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Ørn-Horten		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.1	1.78
	3.75	4.5	1.66
	3.33	5.51	1.69
	3.98	5.3	1.6	Watch
	3.58	3.78	1.8
	3.75	4.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.91)	4.62 ↑ (4.29)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
25.7%

Draw
20%

Flekkerøy
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

21.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

20.7%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ørn-Horten's form might have worsened.

Flekkerøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flekkerøy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flekkerøy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ørn Horten - Flekkerøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 15. Auby J. 4. Forsund A. 19. Hamde D. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. (C) 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 21. Ottesen M. 28. Werni S.	1. Knezovic A. (G) 10. Dovland P. 21. Gamachis D. 23. Haaland S. L. 3. Lien F. 14. Madsen M. 40. Richstad A. 2. Ronningen O. 5. Sundo B. 27. Ujkani A. 15. Ystanes S. (C)
Substitutes
17. Hargott C. 12. Lille T. (G) 5. Pop S. 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 26. Sorensen L. 6. Tornby F. 3. Waernes A. 20. Winge P.	30. Brandal N. 18. Hauge A. 6. Johnsen D. W. 4. Kongerud T. 13. Kristiansen M. (G) 20. Sorum A. 9. Valand S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Knutsen T. 🟨,
33', Nilsen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Kadriu A. ↓, Tornby F. ↑,
67', Gamachis D. 🟨,
67', Forsund A. 🟨,
70', Dovland P. ↓, Valand S. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Gamachis D. ⚽,
75', Gamachis D. ↓, Johnsen D. W. ↑,
75', Haaland S. L. ↓, Hauge A. ↑,
81', Hamde D. ↓, Hargott C. ↑,
86', Skulstad-Hansen E. 🟥,
90', Tornby F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ørn-Horten is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 2.

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flekkerøy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flekkerøy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.10.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Ørn-Horten - Sotra	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Brattvåg - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Jerv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Brann 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTTW
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.10.24	Flekkerøy - Arendal	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Lysekloster - Flekkerøy	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Flekkerøy - Notodden	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Flekkerøy - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Viking 2 - Flekkerøy	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.06.24	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:0
15.07.23	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:1
24.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	3:1
09.07.22	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	1:5
18.06.22	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	2:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
17.09.16	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	4:3
27.05.16	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	2:1

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