Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Flekkerøy		Fram Larvik

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.87	3.6	3.6
	1.83	3.67	3.81
	1.78	3.7	3.7
	1.81	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.2)	3.61 ↑ (3.52)	3.63 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flekkerøy
49.8%

Draw
25.1%

Fram Larvik
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flekkerøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flekkerøy's performance.

Fram Larvik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fram Larvik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flekkerøy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram Larvik than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fram Larvik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flekkerøy - Fram Larvik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knezovic A. (G) 10. Dovland P. 30. Eftevaag J. 9. Eriksen K. 18. Hauge A. 6. Johnsen D. W. 4. Kongerud T. 3. Lien F. 5. Sundo B. 31. Ujkani A. 15. Ystanes S. (C)	1. Vieira J. (G) 5. Ahmed L. 17. Bruusgaard J. 7. Einarson P. 9. Fahlgren-Hallstrom M. 16. Fjeldskar J. 8. Jatta P. 25. Lysebo Johansen B. 24. Nguen R. 23. Nordengen E. 30. Wurschmidt M.
Substitutes
23. Arikstad J. 22. Eftevaag L. 11. Furaha J. 8. Gamachis D. 20. Hille P. 17. Ibishi D. 13. Kristiansen M. (G) 16. Sigurdsen K. 14. You X.	13. Helgeland O. 15. Jacobsen M. 12. Kamecki J. (G) 27. Mosquera B. 19. Nilsen I. S. 22. Pedersen U. 4. Pettersen J. 3. Rekdal M.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Flekkerøy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fram is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flekkerøy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Flekkerøy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Flekkerøy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.10.23	Grorud - Flekkerøy	1:3 ✺
09.10.23	Flekkerøy - Vålerenga 2	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	Flekkerøy - Brattvåg	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Lyn - Flekkerøy	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Flekkerøy - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLL
- Fram Larvik
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.10.23	Fram Larvik - Egersund	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Brattvåg - Fram Larvik	4:4 ✺
02.10.23	Fram Larvik - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Arendal - Fram Larvik	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Fram Larvik - Kjelsås	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.05.23	Fram Larvik - Flekkerøy	1:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
30.10.21	Fram Larvik - Flekkerøy	1:1
30.06.21	Flekkerøy - Fram Larvik	0:0

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