Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Arendal		Fram Larvik

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	6.5	Watch
	1.38	5.36	6.26
	1.33	5.2	6.25
	1.34	5.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	5.19 ↑ (4.85)	6.25 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
67.7%

Draw
17.6%

Fram Larvik
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

18.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

17.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Fram Larvik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram Larvik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Arendal - Fram Larvik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Brauti J. (G) 4. Bergan V. 10. Berge S. 17. Cheng C. 2. Fredriksen J. 19. Habestad O. 20. Johansen M. 15. Lereng E. 14. Makiadi A. 16. Marthinussen S. 6. Salte T. (C)	1. Vieira J. (G) 5. Ahmed L. 7. Einarson P. 9. Fahlgren-Hallstrom M. 16. Fjeldskar J. 15. Jacobsen M. 8. Jatta P. 10. Laham M. (C) 25. Lysebo Johansen B. 23. Nordengen E. 30. Wurschmidt M.
Substitutes
5. Andersen S. 8. Christensen R. L. 3. Egell-Johnsen K. 9. Frederiksen J. 13. Kiilerich S. 18. Koko J. 29. Lille-Lovo S. 7. Skeie P. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)	17. Bruusgaard J. 13. Helgeland O. 21. Henriksen M. 12. Kamecki J. (G) 24. Nguen R. 19. Nilsen I. S. 4. Pettersen J. 3. Rekdal M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

Arendal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fram is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arendal is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arendal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.09.23	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:3 ✺
04.09.23	Lyn - Arendal	4:3 ✺
26.08.23	Arendal - Egersund	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Flekkerøy - Arendal	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Arendal - Brattvåg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLL
- Fram Larvik
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.09.23	Fram Larvik - Kjelsås	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Fram Larvik - Notodden	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Vard Haugesund - Fram Larvik	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Fram Larvik - Træff	3:3 ✺
12.08.23	Grorud - Fram Larvik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.04.23	Fram Larvik - Arendal	0:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
02.10.21	Fram Larvik - Arendal	1:1
08.07.21	Arendal - Fram Larvik	2:1

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