Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA SAO PAULO DE JUNIORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2023, Monday


	Floresta U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.5
	4.3	4.2	1.55
	4.6	4.1	1.49
	5.16	4.45	1.53
	5	4.2	1.5
	5.4	4.2	1.48	Watch
	5	4.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.44)	4.23 ↑ (4.21)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta U20
18.5%

Draw
21.4%

Athletico Paranaense U20
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21.4%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

20.9%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Floresta U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Floresta U20 will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Athletico PR U20 will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Floresta U20: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Floresta U20 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletico PR U20 in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletico PR U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Floresta U20 have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletico PR U20 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC U20
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.23	Avaí U20 - Floresta U20	1:2 ✺
12.01.23	Ceilândia U20 - Floresta U20	0:1 pen. ✺
08.01.23	Floresta U20 - Aparecidense U20	0:1 ✺
05.01.23	XV de Jaú U20 - Floresta U20	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Flamengo RJ U20 - Floresta U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWLWT
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	3:2 ✺
12.01.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Guarani U20	1:0 ✺
09.01.23	Barretos U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1 ✺
06.01.23	São Bento U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
03.01.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Picos U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW

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