Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz)


	Florgrade		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.85
	1.66	3.43	4.99	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.7	3.28	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	4.85 (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
53.8%

Draw
27.5%

Aparecida
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Aparecida have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Florgrade - Aparecida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 🟥,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Florgrade has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aparecida is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Florgrade is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Beira-Mar - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Florgrade - Anadia	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gouveia - Florgrade	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWW
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Vila Real - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Aparecida - Rebordosa	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Resende - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWT

Florgrade - Aparecida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide