Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Vila Mítica (Lousada)


	Aparecida		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.15	1.85
	4.04	3.14	1.90	Watch
	3.99	3.38	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.96)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
23%

Draw
28.3%

Rebordosa
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

27.6%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Aparecida have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Aparecida - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟥,
88', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Aparecida has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rebordosa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Rebordosa is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Resende - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Aparecida - Salgueiros 08	0:4 ✺
28.09.25	Beira-Mar - Aparecida	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Aparecida - Anadia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLW
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Rebordosa - Resende	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Salgueiros 08 - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Rebordosa - Beira-Mar	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Anadia - Rebordosa	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Atlético CP - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

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