Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6Date: 5 October 2025, SundayLocation: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Florgrade |
|
União Lamas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.04 |
2.99 |
3.54 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.99 |
3.55 |
 Watch |
 |
2.06 |
3.2 |
3.51 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.3) |
3.05 ↑
(3) |
3.38 ↑
(2.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Florgrade
42.9% | Draw
30% | União Lamas
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Florgrade - União Lamas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).Florgrade is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).União Lamas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Florgrade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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