Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Haringey Borough

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.33
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.49	4.71	5.03
	1.5	4.71	5.03
	1.44	5	4.33
	1.49	4.5	4.8
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.31)	4.63 ↓ (5.5)	4.79 ↓ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
61.4%

Draw
19.6%

Haringey Borough
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

17%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

11.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folkestone Invicta's form might have worsened.

Haringey Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haringey Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haringey Borough than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 2.

Recent matches Folkestone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haringey is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Folkestone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	3:1 ✺
24.10.23	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Kingstonian - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Folkestone Invicta - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- Haringey Borough
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Haringey Borough	3:0 ✺
07.11.23	Margate - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Haringey Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Haringey Borough - Redbridge	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Haringey Borough - Concord Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	2:3 penalties
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	2:1
05.11.22	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	3:0
23.04.22	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	4:4
11.12.21	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	5:0
11.01.20	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	1:1
20.04.19	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	4:0

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