Match Info

NM Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Langhus kunstgress (Langhus)


	Follo		Notodden

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.4
	2.25	3.5	2.55
	2.08	3.55	2.98
	1.97	3.75	3.39
	2.14	3.38	3.08	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.62
	2.12	3.68	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.4)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	3 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
43.4%

Draw
25.9%

Notodden
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notodden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notodden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Follo - Notodden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Follo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Hennig E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Singh K. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Jorde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 3 - 1, Gavey M. ⚽,
49', 4 - 1, Gavey M. ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, Ullenes P. ⚽,
79', 5 - 2, Ottesen M. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 2, Togersen E. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Follo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Notodden's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Notodden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Follo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
09.08.25	Follo - Asker Fotball	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stjørdals-Blink - Follo	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Follo - Kjelsås	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Rana - Follo	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Follo - Alta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.08.25	Notodden - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sandnes Ulf - Notodden	7:0 ✺
05.07.25	Notodden - Flekkerøy	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Brattvåg - Notodden	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Notodden - Sandnes Ulf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.02.25	Notodden - Follo	1:3
11.03.23	Notodden - Follo	3:2

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